Predicting individual-level income from Facebook profiles.

Information about a person's income can be useful in several business-related contexts, such as personalized advertising or salary negotiations. However, many people consider this information private and are reluctant to share it. In this paper, we show that income is predictable from the digit...

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Main Authors: Sandra C Matz, Jochen I Menges, David J Stillwell, H Andrew Schwartz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2019-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0214369
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spelling doaj-8634ca9bf95141d1acbda2b1f425ae622021-03-03T20:46:44ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032019-01-01143e021436910.1371/journal.pone.0214369Predicting individual-level income from Facebook profiles.Sandra C MatzJochen I MengesDavid J StillwellH Andrew SchwartzInformation about a person's income can be useful in several business-related contexts, such as personalized advertising or salary negotiations. However, many people consider this information private and are reluctant to share it. In this paper, we show that income is predictable from the digital footprints people leave on Facebook. Applying an established machine learning method to an income-representative sample of 2,623 U.S. Americans, we found that (i) Facebook Likes and Status Updates alone predicted a person's income with an accuracy of up to r = 0.43, and (ii) Facebook Likes and Status Updates added incremental predictive power above and beyond a range of socio-demographic variables (ΔR2 = 6-16%, with a correlation of up to r = 0.49). Our findings highlight both opportunities for businesses and legitimate privacy concerns that such prediction models pose to individuals and society when applied without individual consent.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0214369
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Sandra C Matz
Jochen I Menges
David J Stillwell
H Andrew Schwartz
spellingShingle Sandra C Matz
Jochen I Menges
David J Stillwell
H Andrew Schwartz
Predicting individual-level income from Facebook profiles.
PLoS ONE
author_facet Sandra C Matz
Jochen I Menges
David J Stillwell
H Andrew Schwartz
author_sort Sandra C Matz
title Predicting individual-level income from Facebook profiles.
title_short Predicting individual-level income from Facebook profiles.
title_full Predicting individual-level income from Facebook profiles.
title_fullStr Predicting individual-level income from Facebook profiles.
title_full_unstemmed Predicting individual-level income from Facebook profiles.
title_sort predicting individual-level income from facebook profiles.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
series PLoS ONE
issn 1932-6203
publishDate 2019-01-01
description Information about a person's income can be useful in several business-related contexts, such as personalized advertising or salary negotiations. However, many people consider this information private and are reluctant to share it. In this paper, we show that income is predictable from the digital footprints people leave on Facebook. Applying an established machine learning method to an income-representative sample of 2,623 U.S. Americans, we found that (i) Facebook Likes and Status Updates alone predicted a person's income with an accuracy of up to r = 0.43, and (ii) Facebook Likes and Status Updates added incremental predictive power above and beyond a range of socio-demographic variables (ΔR2 = 6-16%, with a correlation of up to r = 0.49). Our findings highlight both opportunities for businesses and legitimate privacy concerns that such prediction models pose to individuals and society when applied without individual consent.
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0214369
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