World dynamics patterns modeling

• Main Author: Sergey Yu. Malkov
• Format: Article
• Language: Russian
• Published: Institute of Computer Science 2017-06-01
• Series: Компьютерные исследования и моделирование
• Subjects: the crisis of globalization; simulation world dynamics; social self-organization
• Online Access: http://crm.ics.org.ru/uploads/crmissues/crm_2017_3/2017_03_05.pdf
• ISSN: 2076-7633; 2077-6853

In the article is carried out the analysis of historical process with the use of methods of synergetics (science about the nonlinear developing systems in nature and the society), developed in the works of D. S. Chernavskii in connection with to economic and social systems. It is shown that social self-organizing depending on conditions leads to the formation of both the societies with the strong internal competition (Y-structures) and cooperative type societies (X-structures). Y-structures are characteristic for the countries of the West, X-structure are characteristic for the countries of the East. It is shown that in XIX and in XX centuries occurred accelerated shaping and strengthening of Y-structures. However, at present world system entered into the period of serious structural changes in the economic, political, ideological spheres: the domination of Y-structures concludes. Are examined the possible ways of further development of the world system, connected with change in the regimes of self-organizing and limitation of internal competition. This passage will be prolonged and complex. Under these conditions it will objectively grow the value of the civilizational experience of Russia, on basis of which was formed combined type social system. It is shown that ultimately inevitable the passage from the present do-mination of Y-structures to the absolutely new global system, whose stability will be based on the new ideology, the new spirituality (i.e., new "conditional information" according D. S. Chernavskii), which makes a turn from the principles of competition to the principles of collaboration.