Model confidence sets and forecast combination: an application to age-specific mortality

Abstract Background Model averaging combines forecasts obtained from a range of models, and it often produces more accurate forecasts than a forecast from a single model. Objective The crucial part of forecast accuracy improvement in using the model averaging lies in the determination of optimal wei...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Han Lin Shang, Steven Haberman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2018-11-01
Series:Genus
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s41118-018-0043-9