Use of log-linear models in forecasting structural changes in Finnish non-industrial private forest ownership

Use of log-linear models in forecasting structural changes in Finnish non-industrial private forest ownership

This paper presents how log-linear models can be used for modelling and forecasting structural changes of Finnish non-industrial private forest ownership. Two cross-sectional sets of data, which were collected in conjunction with two separate surveys by means of mail questionnaires in...

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Main Author: Ripatti, Pekka
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Finnish Society of Forest Science 2000-01-01
Series:Silva Fennica
Online Access:https://www.silvafennica.fi/article/631
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spelling doaj-7d30dc2d1e6e4f10aaf0dbfc17f332ff2020-11-25T02:51:33ZengFinnish Society of Forest ScienceSilva Fennica2242-40752000-01-0134310.14214/sf.631Use of log-linear models in forecasting structural changes in Finnish non-industrial private forest ownershipRipatti, Pekka This paper presents how log-linear models can be used for modelling and forecasting structural changes of Finnish non-industrial private forest ownership. Two cross-sectional sets of data, which were collected in conjunction with two separate surveys by means of mail questionnaires in 1975 and 1990, were employed. A total of six non-industrial private forest holding and ownership attributes are forecast focusing on the earlier pace of structural change. The results show that the pace of change in the forecast attributes appears to be less than it would be when derived from extrapolation of the earlier trends. The results of the study can be applied to forest policy and forestry extension planning, by providing a more realistic outlook of the future structure of non-industrial private forest ownership.https://www.silvafennica.fi/article/631
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Ripatti, Pekka
spellingShingle Ripatti, Pekka
Use of log-linear models in forecasting structural changes in Finnish non-industrial private forest ownership
Silva Fennica
author_facet Ripatti, Pekka
author_sort Ripatti, Pekka
title Use of log-linear models in forecasting structural changes in Finnish non-industrial private forest ownership
title_short Use of log-linear models in forecasting structural changes in Finnish non-industrial private forest ownership
title_full Use of log-linear models in forecasting structural changes in Finnish non-industrial private forest ownership
title_fullStr Use of log-linear models in forecasting structural changes in Finnish non-industrial private forest ownership
title_full_unstemmed Use of log-linear models in forecasting structural changes in Finnish non-industrial private forest ownership
title_sort use of log-linear models in forecasting structural changes in finnish non-industrial private forest ownership
publisher Finnish Society of Forest Science
series Silva Fennica
issn 2242-4075
publishDate 2000-01-01
description This paper presents how log-linear models can be used for modelling and forecasting structural changes of Finnish non-industrial private forest ownership. Two cross-sectional sets of data, which were collected in conjunction with two separate surveys by means of mail questionnaires in 1975 and 1990, were employed. A total of six non-industrial private forest holding and ownership attributes are forecast focusing on the earlier pace of structural change. The results show that the pace of change in the forecast attributes appears to be less than it would be when derived from extrapolation of the earlier trends. The results of the study can be applied to forest policy and forestry extension planning, by providing a more realistic outlook of the future structure of non-industrial private forest ownership.
url https://www.silvafennica.fi/article/631
work_keys_str_mv AT ripattipekka useofloglinearmodelsinforecastingstructuralchangesinfinnishnonindustrialprivateforestownership
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