Hybrid Statistical Testing for Nuclear Material Accounting Data and/or Process Monitoring Data in Nuclear Safeguards

The aim of nuclear safeguards is to ensure that special nuclear material is used for peaceful purposes. Historically, nuclear material accounting (NMA) has provided the quantitative basis for monitoring for nuclear material loss or diversion, and process monitoring (PM) data is collected by the oper...

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Main Authors: Tom Burr, Michael S. Hamada, Larry Ticknor, James Sprinkle
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2015-01-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/8/1/501
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spelling doaj-7c7f364a831546ba9d46d0dafd6603c92020-11-24T21:50:23ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732015-01-018150152810.3390/en8010501en8010501Hybrid Statistical Testing for Nuclear Material Accounting Data and/or Process Monitoring Data in Nuclear SafeguardsTom Burr0Michael S. Hamada1Larry Ticknor2James Sprinkle3Statistical Sciences, F600, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545, USAStatistical Sciences, F600, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545, USAStatistical Sciences, F600, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545, USASystems Design and Analysis, C921, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545, USAThe aim of nuclear safeguards is to ensure that special nuclear material is used for peaceful purposes. Historically, nuclear material accounting (NMA) has provided the quantitative basis for monitoring for nuclear material loss or diversion, and process monitoring (PM) data is collected by the operator to monitor the process. PM data typically support NMA in various ways, often by providing a basis to estimate some of the in-process nuclear material inventory. We develop options for combining PM residuals and NMA residuals (residual = measurement − prediction), using a hybrid of period-driven and data-driven hypothesis testing. The modified statistical tests can be used on time series of NMA residuals (the NMA residual is the familiar material balance), or on a combination of PM and NMA residuals. The PM residuals can be generated on a fixed time schedule or as events occur.http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/8/1/501data drivenhybrid methodnuclear material accountingperiod drivenprocess monitoringresidualsstatistical methodstime series
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Tom Burr
Michael S. Hamada
Larry Ticknor
James Sprinkle
spellingShingle Tom Burr
Michael S. Hamada
Larry Ticknor
James Sprinkle
Hybrid Statistical Testing for Nuclear Material Accounting Data and/or Process Monitoring Data in Nuclear Safeguards
Energies
data driven
hybrid method
nuclear material accounting
period driven
process monitoring
residuals
statistical methods
time series
author_facet Tom Burr
Michael S. Hamada
Larry Ticknor
James Sprinkle
author_sort Tom Burr
title Hybrid Statistical Testing for Nuclear Material Accounting Data and/or Process Monitoring Data in Nuclear Safeguards
title_short Hybrid Statistical Testing for Nuclear Material Accounting Data and/or Process Monitoring Data in Nuclear Safeguards
title_full Hybrid Statistical Testing for Nuclear Material Accounting Data and/or Process Monitoring Data in Nuclear Safeguards
title_fullStr Hybrid Statistical Testing for Nuclear Material Accounting Data and/or Process Monitoring Data in Nuclear Safeguards
title_full_unstemmed Hybrid Statistical Testing for Nuclear Material Accounting Data and/or Process Monitoring Data in Nuclear Safeguards
title_sort hybrid statistical testing for nuclear material accounting data and/or process monitoring data in nuclear safeguards
publisher MDPI AG
series Energies
issn 1996-1073
publishDate 2015-01-01
description The aim of nuclear safeguards is to ensure that special nuclear material is used for peaceful purposes. Historically, nuclear material accounting (NMA) has provided the quantitative basis for monitoring for nuclear material loss or diversion, and process monitoring (PM) data is collected by the operator to monitor the process. PM data typically support NMA in various ways, often by providing a basis to estimate some of the in-process nuclear material inventory. We develop options for combining PM residuals and NMA residuals (residual = measurement − prediction), using a hybrid of period-driven and data-driven hypothesis testing. The modified statistical tests can be used on time series of NMA residuals (the NMA residual is the familiar material balance), or on a combination of PM and NMA residuals. The PM residuals can be generated on a fixed time schedule or as events occur.
topic data driven
hybrid method
nuclear material accounting
period driven
process monitoring
residuals
statistical methods
time series
url http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/8/1/501
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