Analysis of Export Demand for Indonesian Agricultural Commodities by the Chinese Market

• Main Authors: Riyani Riyani, Darsono Darsono, Minar Ferichani
• Format: Article
• Language: Indonesian
• Published: Department of Agribusiness, Faculty of Agriculture, Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta 2018-12-01
• Series: Agraris: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research
• Subjects: agricultural commodities, export demand, panel data
• Online Access: http://journal.umy.ac.id/index.php/ag/article/view/4382
• ISSN: 2407-814X; 2527-9238

<span lang="IN">China is one of the main export destination of Indonesian agricultural commodities. Nevertheless, the export trend of Indonesian agricultural commodities to China during  2012-2016 tend to declined, therefore it is necessary to analyze it. This research aimed to analyze the determinant of Indonesian agricultural commodities export demand </span><span>by</span><span> <span lang="IN">China. Indonesian agricultural commodities export demand </span></span><span>wa</span><span lang="IN">s estimated using </span><span>a regression model on </span><span lang="IN">panel data. Panel data in this research consisted of ten data of Indonesian agricultural commodities export to China during 1999-2016 period. The results showed that Indonesian agricultural commodities export demand </span><span>by</span><span> <span lang="IN">China </span></span><span>wa</span><span lang="IN">s significantly influenced by real GDP per capita of China, real exchange rate, export price of agricultural commodities and import tariff of agricultural commodities in China.</span><span lang="IN">An increasing in real GDP per capita lead an increase in Indonesian agricultural commodities export demand. The depreciation of </span><span>Rupiah</span><span> <span lang="IN">which was expected to increase export demand, but in this research it </span></span><span>decreas</span><span lang="IN">ed Indonesian agricultural commodities export demand from China.</span><span lang="IN">In addition</span><span>, </span><span lang="IN">Indonesian agricultural commodities export demand tend to increased despite the export prices of agricultural commodities and import tariffs of agricultural commodities in China increased.</span>