A Neural-Network Approach to the Modeling of the Impact of Market Volatility on Investment

In recent years, authors have focused on modeling and forecasting volatility in financial series it is crucial for the characterization of markets, portfolio optimization and asset valuation. One of the most used methods to forecast market volatility is the linear regression. Nonetheless, the errors...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Mohammad Azim Khodayari, Ahmad Yaghobnezhad, Khalili Eraghi Khalili Eraghi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Islamic Azad University of Arak 2020-10-01
Series:Advances in Mathematical Finance and Applications
Subjects:
Online Access:http://amfa.iau-arak.ac.ir/article_674953_45268ea9b344a7ff80fd179d3cb7e1c2.pdf
Description
Summary:In recent years, authors have focused on modeling and forecasting volatility in financial series it is crucial for the characterization of markets, portfolio optimization and asset valuation. One of the most used methods to forecast market volatility is the linear regression. Nonetheless, the errors in prediction using this approach are often quite high. Hence, continued research is conducted to improve forecasting models employing a variety of techniques. In this paper, we extend the field of expert systems, forecasting, and model by applying an Artificial Neural Network. ANN model is applied to forecast market volatility. The results show an overall improvement in forecasting using the neural network as compared to linear regression method.
ISSN:2538-5569
2645-4610