Federal minimum wage hikes do reduce teenage employment. A replication study of Bazen & Marimoutou (Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2002)
In 2002 we published a paper in which we used state space time series methods to analyse the teenage employment-federal minimum wage relationship in the US (Bazen and Marimoutou, 2002).The study used quarterly data for the 46 year period running from 1954 to 1999. We detected a small, negative but s...
| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
ZBW
2018-12-01
|
| Series: | International Journal for Re-Views in Empirical Economics |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.18718/81781.9 |
| Summary: | In 2002 we published a paper in which we used state space time series methods to analyse the teenage employment-federal minimum wage relationship in the US (Bazen and Marimoutou, 2002).The study used quarterly data for the 46 year period running from 1954 to 1999. We detected a small, negative but statistically significant effect of the federal minimum wage on teenage employment, at a time when some studies were casting doubt on the existence of such an effect. In this note we re-estimate the original model with a further 16 years of data (up to 2015). We find that the model satisfactorily tracks the path of the teenage employment-population ratio over this 60 year period, and yields a consistently negative and statistically significant effect of minimum wages on teenage employment. The conclusion reached is the same as in the original paper, and the elasticity estimates very similar: federal minimum wage hikes lead to a reduction in teenage employment with a short run elasticity of around −0.13. The estimated long run elasticity of between −0.37 and −0.47 is less stable, but is nevertheless negative and statistically significant. |
|---|---|
| ISSN: | 2566-8269 2566-8269 |