Fear and loathing in Las Vegas

This paper uses proprietary data from a blackjack table in Las Vegas to analyze how the expectation of regret affects peoples' decisions during gambles. Even among a group of people who choose to participate in a risk-taking activity, we find strong evidence of an economically significant omiss...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Bruce I. Carlin, David T. Robinson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Society for Judgment and Decision Making 2009-08-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.sjdm.org/9519/jdm9519.pdf
Description
Summary:This paper uses proprietary data from a blackjack table in Las Vegas to analyze how the expectation of regret affects peoples' decisions during gambles. Even among a group of people who choose to participate in a risk-taking activity, we find strong evidence of an economically significant omission bias: 80\% of the mistakes at the table are caused by playing too conservatively, resulting in substantial monetary losses. This behavior is equally prevalent among large-stakes gamblers and does not change in the face of more complicated strategic decisions.
ISSN:1930-2975