Testing the Conditional Convergence Hypothesis for Pakistan

This study investigates for the existence or non-existence of conditional convergence across the provinces of Pakistan. The annual output data from 1973 to 2000 is pooled for the four Pakistani provinces. The cross-sectional specific effects, the time specific effects, the manufacturing output, and...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Sajjad Ahmad Jan (Corresponding Author), A. R. Chaudhary
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Johar Education Society 2011-09-01
Series:Pakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.jespk.net/Publications/Vol%205/7.pdf
Description
Summary:This study investigates for the existence or non-existence of conditional convergence across the provinces of Pakistan. The annual output data from 1973 to 2000 is pooled for the four Pakistani provinces. The cross-sectional specific effects, the time specific effects, the manufacturing output, and the structural variable for aggregate supply or production shocks are used to control the different steady state levels of per capita incomes of thedifferent provinces. The equation for conditional convergence is estimated through generalized least squares (GLS) method, after controlling for the different steady states of the provinces. The result shows that the provinces of Pakistan converge to their own respective steady states with a convergence speed of 11% per annum. At the same time manufacturing output is also statistically significant and positively affects the economic growth in the provinces. However the structural variable is not statistically significant.
ISSN:1997-8553