Catastrophe models and the expansion method: A review of issues and an application to the econometric modeling of economic growth

Many negative reactions to Catastrophe Theory have been triggered by overly simplistic applications unintended and unsuited for statistical-econometric estimation, inference, and testing. In this paper it is argued that stochastic catastrophe models constructed using the Expansion Method hold the mo...

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Main Author: Emilio Casetti
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Hindawi Limited 1997-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/S1026022697000204
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spelling doaj-6e4712464f9245ffae7d7f49d94f4a202020-11-25T00:54:26ZengHindawi LimitedDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X1997-01-011318520210.1155/S1026022697000204Catastrophe models and the expansion method: A review of issues and an application to the econometric modeling of economic growthEmilio Casetti0Department of Economics, Odense University, Odense, DenmarkMany negative reactions to Catastrophe Theory have been triggered by overly simplistic applications unintended and unsuited for statistical-econometric estimation, inference, and testing. In this paper it is argued that stochastic catastrophe models constructed using the Expansion Method hold the most promise to widen the acceptance of Catastrophe Theory by analytically oriented scholars in the social sciences and elsewhere. The paper presents a typology of catastrophe models, and demonstrates the construction and estimation of an econometric expanded cusp catastrophe model of economic growth.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/S1026022697000204Catastrophe modelsExpansion methodEconomic growth.
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Emilio Casetti
spellingShingle Emilio Casetti
Catastrophe models and the expansion method: A review of issues and an application to the econometric modeling of economic growth
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Catastrophe models
Expansion method
Economic growth.
author_facet Emilio Casetti
author_sort Emilio Casetti
title Catastrophe models and the expansion method: A review of issues and an application to the econometric modeling of economic growth
title_short Catastrophe models and the expansion method: A review of issues and an application to the econometric modeling of economic growth
title_full Catastrophe models and the expansion method: A review of issues and an application to the econometric modeling of economic growth
title_fullStr Catastrophe models and the expansion method: A review of issues and an application to the econometric modeling of economic growth
title_full_unstemmed Catastrophe models and the expansion method: A review of issues and an application to the econometric modeling of economic growth
title_sort catastrophe models and the expansion method: a review of issues and an application to the econometric modeling of economic growth
publisher Hindawi Limited
series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
issn 1026-0226
1607-887X
publishDate 1997-01-01
description Many negative reactions to Catastrophe Theory have been triggered by overly simplistic applications unintended and unsuited for statistical-econometric estimation, inference, and testing. In this paper it is argued that stochastic catastrophe models constructed using the Expansion Method hold the most promise to widen the acceptance of Catastrophe Theory by analytically oriented scholars in the social sciences and elsewhere. The paper presents a typology of catastrophe models, and demonstrates the construction and estimation of an econometric expanded cusp catastrophe model of economic growth.
topic Catastrophe models
Expansion method
Economic growth.
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/S1026022697000204
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