Supplemental <sup>18</sup>F-FDG-PET/CT for Detection of Malignant Transformation of IPMN—A Model-Based Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

Accurate detection of malignant transformation and risk-stratification of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) has remained a diagnostic challenge. Preliminary findings have indicated a promising role of positron emission tomography combined with computed tomography and <sup>18</...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Felix Bicu, Johann S. Rink, Matthias F. Froelich, Clemens C. Cyran, Johannes Rübenthaler, Emrullah Birgin, Manuel Röhrich, Fabian Tollens
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-03-01
Series:Cancers
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6694/13/6/1365
Description
Summary:Accurate detection of malignant transformation and risk-stratification of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) has remained a diagnostic challenge. Preliminary findings have indicated a promising role of positron emission tomography combined with computed tomography and <sup>18</sup>F-fluorodeoxyglucose (<sup>18</sup>F-FDG-PET/CT) in detecting malignant IPMN. Therefore, the aim of this model-based economic evaluation was to analyze whether supplemental FDG-PET/CT could be cost-effective in patients with IPMN. Decision analysis and Markov modeling were applied to simulate patients’ health states across a time frame of 15 years. CT/MRI based imaging was compared to a strategy with supplemental <sup>18</sup>F-FDG-PET/CT. Cumulative costs in US-$ and outcomes in quality-adjusted life years (QALY) were computed based on input parameters extracted from recent literature. The stability of the model was evaluated by deterministic sensitivity analyses. In the base-case scenario, the CT/MRI-strategy resulted in cumulative discounted costs of USD $106,424 and 8.37 QALYs, while the strategy with supplemental FDG-PET/CT resulted in costs of USD $104,842 and a cumulative effectiveness of 8.48 QALYs and hence was cost-saving. A minimum specificity of FDG-PET/CT of 71.5% was required for the model to yield superior net monetary benefits compared to CT/MRI. This model-based economic evaluation indicates that supplemental <sup>18</sup>F-FDG-PET/CT could have a favorable economic value in the management of IPMN and could be cost-saving in the chosen setting. Prospective studies with standardized protocols for FDG-PET/CT could help to better determine the value of FDG-PET/CT.
ISSN:2072-6694