Periodic dynamic systems for infected hosts and mosquitoes

• Main Authors: Oliva W. M., Sallum E. M.
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: Universidade de São Paulo 1996-01-01
• Series: Revista de Saúde Pública
• Subjects: Malaria/epidemiology; Culicidae; Population dinamics; Ecology, vectors
• Online Access: http://www.scielosp.org/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-89101996000300003

A mathematical model for the purpose of analysing the dynamic of the populations of infected hosts anf infected mosquitoes when the populations of mosquitoes are periodic in time is here presented. By the computation of a parameter lambda (the spectral radius of a certain monodromy matrix) one can state that either the infection peters out naturally) (lambda <= 1) or if lambda > 1 the infection becomes endemic. The model generalizes previous models for malaria by considering the case of periodic coefficients; it is also a variation of that for gonorrhea. The main motivation for the consideration of this present model was the recent studies on mosquitoes at an experimental rice irrigation system, in the South-Eastern region of Brazil.