Agent belongings to several systems: axioms, reflexivity, forecasting

• Main Authors: M. Yu. Babich, V. E. Kuznetsov, A. M. Babich
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: CRI «Electronics» 2020-04-01
• Series: Радиопромышленность
• Subjects: agent; multi-agent system; reflexivity; stratagem; simulacrum; nudge technology; forecasting
• Online Access: https://www.radioprom.org/jour/article/view/699

The multi-agent systems involved in the conflict and the agents belonging to them are considered. The concept of a super-system is introduced. The axioms of agents belonging to several systems with mismatching goals are introduced for agents, multi-agent systems and super-systems. The objective is to determine the way the introduced axioms affect the studied processes. The theory of reflexive control of conflicting systems is considered. The concepts of stratagem, simulacrum as well as the nudge technology are analyzed. The tasks of forecasting interstate conflicts are considered. It is shown how the formulation of such forecasting problems changes in case the affiliation of systems (states) to various super-systems (coalitions) is taken into account. The introduced axioms offer a new point of view on forecasting tasks. It is proved that the advantage in the conflict belongs to the system in which the decision-maker, with equal degrees of reflection, has more information about the systems that include agents.