Estimation of the secondary attack rate of COVID-19 using proportional meta-analysis of nationwide contact tracing data in Taiwan

Crude secondary attack rate (SAR) of COVID-19 in Taiwan was 0.84% using nationwide contact-tracing data till April 8, 2020. The random-effect Bayesian metaanalysis yielded 95% credible intervals of 0.42%–1.69% and 0.08%–8.32%, respectively, for estimated SAR pooling from 15 case series and for predi...

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Main Authors:	Yen-Ta Huang, Yu-Kang Tu, Pei-Chun Lai
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	Elsevier 2021-02-01
Series:	Journal of Microbiology, Immunology and Infection
Subjects:	COVID-19 Secondary attack rate Meta-analysis Pandemic Bayesian
Online Access:	http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1684118220301432

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spelling	doaj-582ffe6d5933468ab1e84037c3a9f4352021-02-21T04:31:52ZengElsevierJournal of Microbiology, Immunology and Infection1684-11822021-02-015418992Estimation of the secondary attack rate of COVID-19 using proportional meta-analysis of nationwide contact tracing data in TaiwanYen-Ta Huang0Yu-Kang Tu1Pei-Chun Lai2Division of Experimental Surgery, Department of Surgery, Hualien Tzu Chi Hospital, Buddhist Tzu Chi Medical Foundation, Hualien, Taiwan; Surgical Intensive Care Unit, Department of Surgery, Hualien Tzu Chi Hospital, Buddhist Tzu Chi Medical Foundation, Hualien, Taiwan; Department of Pharmacology, School of Medicine, Tzu Chi University, Hualien, TaiwanInstitute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; Department of Medical Research, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, TaiwanSchool of Medicine, Tzu Chi University, Hualien, Taiwan; Evidence-based Medicine Center, Department of Medical Education, Hualien Tzu Chi Hospital, Buddhist Tzu Chi Medical Foundation, Hualien, Taiwan; Department of Pediatrics, Hualien Tzu Chi Hospital, Buddhist Tzu Chi Medical Foundation, Hualien, Taiwan; Corresponding author. 707, Sec. 3, Chung Yang Rd., Hualien, 970, Taiwan. Fax: +88638577161.Crude secondary attack rate (SAR) of COVID-19 in Taiwan was 0.84% using nationwide contact-tracing data till April 8, 2020. The random-effect Bayesian metaanalysis yielded 95% credible intervals of 0.42%–1.69% and 0.08%–8.32%, respectively, for estimated SAR pooling from 15 case series and for predicted SAR in the future if pandemic continues.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1684118220301432COVID-19Secondary attack rateMeta-analysisPandemicBayesian
collection	DOAJ
language	English
format	Article
sources	DOAJ
author	Yen-Ta Huang Yu-Kang Tu Pei-Chun Lai
spellingShingle	Yen-Ta Huang Yu-Kang Tu Pei-Chun Lai Estimation of the secondary attack rate of COVID-19 using proportional meta-analysis of nationwide contact tracing data in Taiwan Journal of Microbiology, Immunology and Infection COVID-19 Secondary attack rate Meta-analysis Pandemic Bayesian
author_facet	Yen-Ta Huang Yu-Kang Tu Pei-Chun Lai
author_sort	Yen-Ta Huang
title	Estimation of the secondary attack rate of COVID-19 using proportional meta-analysis of nationwide contact tracing data in Taiwan
title_short	Estimation of the secondary attack rate of COVID-19 using proportional meta-analysis of nationwide contact tracing data in Taiwan
title_full	Estimation of the secondary attack rate of COVID-19 using proportional meta-analysis of nationwide contact tracing data in Taiwan
title_fullStr	Estimation of the secondary attack rate of COVID-19 using proportional meta-analysis of nationwide contact tracing data in Taiwan
title_full_unstemmed	Estimation of the secondary attack rate of COVID-19 using proportional meta-analysis of nationwide contact tracing data in Taiwan
title_sort	estimation of the secondary attack rate of covid-19 using proportional meta-analysis of nationwide contact tracing data in taiwan
publisher	Elsevier
series	Journal of Microbiology, Immunology and Infection
issn	1684-1182
publishDate	2021-02-01
description	Crude secondary attack rate (SAR) of COVID-19 in Taiwan was 0.84% using nationwide contact-tracing data till April 8, 2020. The random-effect Bayesian metaanalysis yielded 95% credible intervals of 0.42%–1.69% and 0.08%–8.32%, respectively, for estimated SAR pooling from 15 case series and for predicted SAR in the future if pandemic continues.
topic	COVID-19 Secondary attack rate Meta-analysis Pandemic Bayesian
url	http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1684118220301432
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Estimation of the secondary attack rate of COVID-19 using proportional meta-analysis of nationwide contact tracing data in Taiwan

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