Development of Mathematical Model for a Quantitative Assessment of Consequences of Illegal Financial Operations

• Main Authors: Valery Leonidovich Makarov, Albert Raufovich Bakhtizin, Elena Davidovna Sushko, Maria Alekseevna Burilina
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: North-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration 2018-04-01
• Series: Управленческое консультирование
• Subjects: cge модели; illegal financial operations; corruption; computable models of the general equilibrium; cge model
• Online Access: https://www.acjournal.ru/jour/article/view/281
• ISSN: 1726-1139; 1816-8590

In this article we observe a short form of the computable model of the general equilibrium of social and economic system in Russian Federation. It is allowing to carry out a quantitative assessment of consequences of illegal financial operations is described (withdrawal of budgetary funds; evasion of taxes by natural and legal entities; a conclusion of financial assets abroad) on the main macro-economic indicators. By means of model the computing experiments are estimating communication between some components of shadow economy and the main macroeconomic indicators of the country (GDP and a consumer price index), the results of it are given in the end of article.