STATISTICAL RESEARCH METHODS AND IMPACT OF IMMIGRATION INFLOW ON THE GDP OF RUSSIA

• Main Author: Vadim E. Zlenko
• Format: Article
• Language: Russian
• Published: Plekhanov Russian University of Economics 2016-08-01
• Series: Statistika i Èkonomika
• Subjects: инновационный подход; иммиг рационный поток; ввп; россия; коэффициент корреляции; отклонения от тренда; учет фак тора времени; устойчивое негативное влияние; innovative approach; immigration infl ow; gdp; russia; correlation ratio; departures from trend; time implications; persistent adverse impact
• Online Access: https://statecon.rea.ru/jour/article/view/428

The article deals with the impact of inflow of foreignpopulation on the GDP of a country (Russia). For the first time in the Russian practices statistical researchmethods have been used to evaluate the degree ofsuch influence for Russia. This is a groundbreaking innovative approach. The correlation ratio for thedepartures from trend for the seven years’ period, the correlation ratio for the departures from trendfor the ten years’ period, and the correlation ratio for the departures from trend with the time implicationsare compared with each other. In order to ensure the accuracy of the results the correlation ratio for thedepartures from trend with the time implications hasbeen chosen and calculated mathematically for thetwo parameters such as the inflow of foreign population and Russia’s GDP. Based on the findings of theresearch work, the author has arrived at the conclusion that there exists a persistent close and inverserelationship between value of the immigration inflow and that of Russia’s GDP, where the uncontrollable inflow of foreign population has a persistent adverseimpact on Russia’s GDP and economy.