Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic Perspective

The paper aims to examine the population ageing process in northeast China, typically perceived as a region experiencing dramatic demographic change and socio-economic slowdown that is much deeper and more significant compared to other regions. Using the 2000 and 2010 census data at the sub-regional...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ling Yang, Kai Zhao, Zhen Fan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-11-01
Series:International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/16/21/4265
id doaj-542a0464d0f84fa2a6437cdda4467273
record_format Article
spelling doaj-542a0464d0f84fa2a6437cdda44672732020-11-24T21:11:03ZengMDPI AGInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health1660-46012019-11-011621426510.3390/ijerph16214265ijerph16214265Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic PerspectiveLing Yang0Kai Zhao1Zhen Fan2School of Economics and Finance, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Shaanxi 710061, ChinaSchool of Economics and Finance, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Shaanxi 710061, ChinaSchool of Economics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, ChinaThe paper aims to examine the population ageing process in northeast China, typically perceived as a region experiencing dramatic demographic change and socio-economic slowdown that is much deeper and more significant compared to other regions. Using the 2000 and 2010 census data at the sub-regional level, the SEM (spatial error model) estimation suggests that at least seven socio-economic factors are associated with the evolution of the ageing pattern in northeast China, including birth rate, mortality, education, healthcare conditions, the level of economic development, urbanization, and population mobility. However, these associations vary according to time and space, which are further confirmed by the geographical weighted regression (GWR). These findings imply that there are complicated and diversified factors which may be associated with the deteriorating population ageing at the local level in northeast China. Therefore, the sustainable development of the northeast region may not be delivered by dichotomous policy interventions, such as the control of birth rate or mortality rate, as many of the previous studies have focused on; instead, the implementation of ageing policy shall be consistent and complementary with the principles of social benefits, for example, providing incentives for improving regional economic structures, or by policies aimed at building up an adequate “tolerant culture” for slowing down population outflows.https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/16/21/4265ageingsocio-economic factorsbirth ratenortheast china
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Ling Yang
Kai Zhao
Zhen Fan
spellingShingle Ling Yang
Kai Zhao
Zhen Fan
Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic Perspective
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
ageing
socio-economic factors
birth rate
northeast china
author_facet Ling Yang
Kai Zhao
Zhen Fan
author_sort Ling Yang
title Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic Perspective
title_short Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic Perspective
title_full Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic Perspective
title_fullStr Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic Perspective
title_full_unstemmed Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic Perspective
title_sort exploring determinants of population ageing in northeast china: from a socio-economic perspective
publisher MDPI AG
series International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
issn 1660-4601
publishDate 2019-11-01
description The paper aims to examine the population ageing process in northeast China, typically perceived as a region experiencing dramatic demographic change and socio-economic slowdown that is much deeper and more significant compared to other regions. Using the 2000 and 2010 census data at the sub-regional level, the SEM (spatial error model) estimation suggests that at least seven socio-economic factors are associated with the evolution of the ageing pattern in northeast China, including birth rate, mortality, education, healthcare conditions, the level of economic development, urbanization, and population mobility. However, these associations vary according to time and space, which are further confirmed by the geographical weighted regression (GWR). These findings imply that there are complicated and diversified factors which may be associated with the deteriorating population ageing at the local level in northeast China. Therefore, the sustainable development of the northeast region may not be delivered by dichotomous policy interventions, such as the control of birth rate or mortality rate, as many of the previous studies have focused on; instead, the implementation of ageing policy shall be consistent and complementary with the principles of social benefits, for example, providing incentives for improving regional economic structures, or by policies aimed at building up an adequate “tolerant culture” for slowing down population outflows.
topic ageing
socio-economic factors
birth rate
northeast china
url https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/16/21/4265
work_keys_str_mv AT lingyang exploringdeterminantsofpopulationageinginnortheastchinafromasocioeconomicperspective
AT kaizhao exploringdeterminantsofpopulationageinginnortheastchinafromasocioeconomicperspective
AT zhenfan exploringdeterminantsofpopulationageinginnortheastchinafromasocioeconomicperspective
_version_ 1716754689434845184