Approaches for short-term photovoltaic energy production forecast in Russian climate conditions

Approaches for short-term photovoltaic energy production forecast in Russian climate conditions

Different techniques for short-term energy production by photovoltaic solar parks (PVSP) were considered taking into account specific features of Russian energy market. Based on theoretical simulation using numerical weather prediction results and experimental data it has been shown, that even for l...

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Main Authors: Frid Semen, Kiseleva Sophia, Lisitskaya Natalya, Mordinsky Alexander
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2020-01-01
Series:E3S Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2020/76/e3sconf_rses2020_01018.pdf
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spelling doaj-541318d67f14461880eadbfdfb0d88622021-04-02T20:56:06ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422020-01-012160101810.1051/e3sconf/202021601018e3sconf_rses2020_01018Approaches for short-term photovoltaic energy production forecast in Russian climate conditionsFrid Semen0Kiseleva Sophia1Lisitskaya Natalya2Mordinsky Alexander3Joint Institute for High Temperatures of the Russian Academy of Sciences (JIHT RAS)Lomonosov Moscow State UniversityJoint Institute for High Temperatures of the Russian Academy of Sciences (JIHT RAS)Joint Institute for High Temperatures of the Russian Academy of Sciences (JIHT RAS)Different techniques for short-term energy production by photovoltaic solar parks (PVSP) were considered taking into account specific features of Russian energy market. Based on theoretical simulation using numerical weather prediction results and experimental data it has been shown, that even for low precision techniques their application allows to improve economics of PVSP’s operation. With a decrease in the forecast error by 1.5–2 times, the economic losses due to the grid dispatch schedule deflection decrease by 5–9 times.https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2020/76/e3sconf_rses2020_01018.pdf
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Frid Semen
Kiseleva Sophia
Lisitskaya Natalya
Mordinsky Alexander
spellingShingle Frid Semen
Kiseleva Sophia
Lisitskaya Natalya
Mordinsky Alexander
Approaches for short-term photovoltaic energy production forecast in Russian climate conditions
E3S Web of Conferences
author_facet Frid Semen
Kiseleva Sophia
Lisitskaya Natalya
Mordinsky Alexander
author_sort Frid Semen
title Approaches for short-term photovoltaic energy production forecast in Russian climate conditions
title_short Approaches for short-term photovoltaic energy production forecast in Russian climate conditions
title_full Approaches for short-term photovoltaic energy production forecast in Russian climate conditions
title_fullStr Approaches for short-term photovoltaic energy production forecast in Russian climate conditions
title_full_unstemmed Approaches for short-term photovoltaic energy production forecast in Russian climate conditions
title_sort approaches for short-term photovoltaic energy production forecast in russian climate conditions
publisher EDP Sciences
series E3S Web of Conferences
issn 2267-1242
publishDate 2020-01-01
description Different techniques for short-term energy production by photovoltaic solar parks (PVSP) were considered taking into account specific features of Russian energy market. Based on theoretical simulation using numerical weather prediction results and experimental data it has been shown, that even for low precision techniques their application allows to improve economics of PVSP’s operation. With a decrease in the forecast error by 1.5–2 times, the economic losses due to the grid dispatch schedule deflection decrease by 5–9 times.
url https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2020/76/e3sconf_rses2020_01018.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT fridsemen approachesforshorttermphotovoltaicenergyproductionforecastinrussianclimateconditions
AT kiselevasophia approachesforshorttermphotovoltaicenergyproductionforecastinrussianclimateconditions
AT lisitskayanatalya approachesforshorttermphotovoltaicenergyproductionforecastinrussianclimateconditions
AT mordinskyalexander approachesforshorttermphotovoltaicenergyproductionforecastinrussianclimateconditions
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