Effective CO<sub>2</sub> lifetime and future CO<sub>2</sub> levels based on fit function

The estimated global CO<sub>2</sub> emission rates and the measured atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations show that only a certain share of the emitted CO<sub>2</sub> accumulates in the atmosphere. For given atmospheric emissions of CO<sub>2</sub&g...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: G. R. Sonnemann, M. Grygalashvyly
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2013-09-01
Series:Annales Geophysicae
Online Access:https://www.ann-geophys.net/31/1591/2013/angeo-31-1591-2013.pdf
Description
Summary:The estimated global CO<sub>2</sub> emission rates and the measured atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations show that only a certain share of the emitted CO<sub>2</sub> accumulates in the atmosphere. For given atmospheric emissions of CO<sub>2</sub>, the effective lifetime determines its accumulation in the atmosphere and, consequently, its impact on the future global warming. We found that on average the inferred effective lifetime of CO<sub>2</sub> decreases as its atmospheric concentration increases, reducing the rate of its accumulation in the atmosphere. We derived a power function that fits the varying lifetimes. Based on this fitting function, we calculated the increase of CO<sub>2</sub> for different scenarios of future global emission rates.
ISSN:0992-7689
1432-0576