Transitioning Out of the Coronavirus Lockdown: A Framework for Evaluating Zone-Based Social Distancing

In the face of elevated pandemic risk, canonical epidemiological models imply the need for extreme social distancing over a prolonged period. Alternatively, people could be organized into zones, with more interactions inside their zone than across zones. Zones can deliver significantly lower infecti...

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Main Authors: Eric Friedman, John Friedman, Simon Johnson, Adam Landsberg
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-06-01
Series:Frontiers in Public Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpubh.2020.00266/full
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spelling doaj-4fb842b6e2eb4801995aee7c3e0f85222020-11-25T03:41:05ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Public Health2296-25652020-06-01810.3389/fpubh.2020.00266558692Transitioning Out of the Coronavirus Lockdown: A Framework for Evaluating Zone-Based Social DistancingEric Friedman0Eric Friedman1John Friedman2John Friedman3Simon Johnson4Simon Johnson5Adam Landsberg6Adam Landsberg7Adam Landsberg8Adam Landsberg9International Computer Science Institute and Department of IEOR, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United StatesCOVID-19 Policy Alliance, Cambridge, MA, United StatesCOVID-19 Policy Alliance, Cambridge, MA, United StatesDepartment of Statistics, UC Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United StatesCOVID-19 Policy Alliance, Cambridge, MA, United StatesSloan School of Management, MIT, Cambridge, MA, United StatesCOVID-19 Policy Alliance, Cambridge, MA, United StatesW.M. Keck Science Department, Claremont McKenna College, Claremont, CA, United StatesW.M. Keck Science Department, Pitzer College, Claremont, CA, United StatesW.M. Keck Science Department, Scripps College, Claremont, CA, United StatesIn the face of elevated pandemic risk, canonical epidemiological models imply the need for extreme social distancing over a prolonged period. Alternatively, people could be organized into zones, with more interactions inside their zone than across zones. Zones can deliver significantly lower infection rates, with less social distancing, particularly if combined with simple quarantine rules and contact tracing. This paper provides a framework for understanding and evaluating the implications of zones, quarantines, and other complementary policies.https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpubh.2020.00266/fullcovid-19zonesreproductive numbernetworkssocial distancing measuresSIR (Susceptible Infected-Recovered) model
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Eric Friedman
Eric Friedman
John Friedman
John Friedman
Simon Johnson
Simon Johnson
Adam Landsberg
Adam Landsberg
Adam Landsberg
Adam Landsberg
spellingShingle Eric Friedman
Eric Friedman
John Friedman
John Friedman
Simon Johnson
Simon Johnson
Adam Landsberg
Adam Landsberg
Adam Landsberg
Adam Landsberg
Transitioning Out of the Coronavirus Lockdown: A Framework for Evaluating Zone-Based Social Distancing
Frontiers in Public Health
covid-19
zones
reproductive number
networks
social distancing measures
SIR (Susceptible Infected-Recovered) model
author_facet Eric Friedman
Eric Friedman
John Friedman
John Friedman
Simon Johnson
Simon Johnson
Adam Landsberg
Adam Landsberg
Adam Landsberg
Adam Landsberg
author_sort Eric Friedman
title Transitioning Out of the Coronavirus Lockdown: A Framework for Evaluating Zone-Based Social Distancing
title_short Transitioning Out of the Coronavirus Lockdown: A Framework for Evaluating Zone-Based Social Distancing
title_full Transitioning Out of the Coronavirus Lockdown: A Framework for Evaluating Zone-Based Social Distancing
title_fullStr Transitioning Out of the Coronavirus Lockdown: A Framework for Evaluating Zone-Based Social Distancing
title_full_unstemmed Transitioning Out of the Coronavirus Lockdown: A Framework for Evaluating Zone-Based Social Distancing
title_sort transitioning out of the coronavirus lockdown: a framework for evaluating zone-based social distancing
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
series Frontiers in Public Health
issn 2296-2565
publishDate 2020-06-01
description In the face of elevated pandemic risk, canonical epidemiological models imply the need for extreme social distancing over a prolonged period. Alternatively, people could be organized into zones, with more interactions inside their zone than across zones. Zones can deliver significantly lower infection rates, with less social distancing, particularly if combined with simple quarantine rules and contact tracing. This paper provides a framework for understanding and evaluating the implications of zones, quarantines, and other complementary policies.
topic covid-19
zones
reproductive number
networks
social distancing measures
SIR (Susceptible Infected-Recovered) model
url https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpubh.2020.00266/full
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