A proposed quantitative credit-rating methodology for South African provincial departments

The development of subnational credit-rating methodologies affords benefits for subnationals, the sovereign and its citizens. Trusted credit ratings facilitate access to financial markets and above-average ratings allow for the negotiation of better collateral and guarantee agreements, as well as fo...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Erika Fourie, Tanja Verster, Gary Wayne van Vuuren
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AOSIS 2016-05-01
Series:South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences
Online Access:https://sajems.org/index.php/sajems/article/view/1260
Description
Summary:The development of subnational credit-rating methodologies affords benefits for subnationals, the sovereign and its citizens. Trusted credit ratings facilitate access to financial markets and above-average ratings allow for the negotiation of better collateral and guarantee agreements, as well as for funding of, for example, infrastructure projects at superior (lower) interest rates. This paper develops the quantitative section of a credit-rating methodology for South African subnationals. The unique characteristics of South African data, their assembly, and the selection of dependent and independent variables for the linear-regression model chosen, are discussed. The methodology is then applied to the provincial Department of Health using linear regression modelling.
ISSN:1015-8812
2222-3436