ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF ECOLOGICAL LOAD IN RUSSIA

• Main Authors: Mkrtchyan G. M., Tagaeva T. O., Tsvelodub Yu. O.
• Format: Article
• Language: Russian
• Published: Novosibirsk State University Press 2017-03-01
• Series: Mir Èkonomiki i Upravleniâ
• Subjects: экологическая ситуация; атмосферные выбросы; сброс загрязненных сточных вод; образование отходов производства и потребления; экологический прогноз; государственная природоохранная политика; environmental conditions; air emissions; wastewater discharge; production and consumption waste generation; ecological forecast; state ecological policies
• Online Access: https://nsu.ru/ef/vestnik_ngu_ef/2017_1_5

The article presents an analysis of modern issues of environmental pollution in the Russian Federation: growth of the pollutants concentration in the atmosphere, decrease in the quality of water, growth in the annual production and consumption waste generation etc. The authors present the load forecast for water and atmospheric resources as well as projected trend of waste production for a period of 2016-2020, obtained using dynamic interindustry model with ecological block. Based on the forecast it is concluded that the growth of the environmental load will remain, and in order to prevent it the development of state ecological policies is required.