NONLINEAR DEPENDENCIES IN CURRENCY FUTURES

Several studies have documented nonlinear dependencies in the exchange rates of major currencies. This paper provides similar evidence for the currency futures of the British Pound, Deutsche Mark, Swiss Franc, Cana- dian dollar, and Japanese Yen. It is established that the GARCH (1,1) model satisfac...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Bahram Adrangi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: People & Global Business Association (P&GBA) 1999-09-01
Series:Global Business and Finance Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.gbfrjournal.org/pds/journal/thesis/20150625121949-VC12L.pdf
Description
Summary:Several studies have documented nonlinear dependencies in the exchange rates of major currencies. This paper provides similar evidence for the currency futures of the British Pound, Deutsche Mark, Swiss Franc, Cana- dian dollar, and Japanese Yen. It is established that the GARCH (1,1) model satisfactorily explains the nonlinear dep~ndencies in the co~tracts investigated. Neither trading-volume/open-interest, nor the time to maturity or the ~as1s ~~efound to explain the GARCH effects in the data. However, the conditional volatility in the currency futures is positively related to futures trading activity and the basis. Finally, we find no support for Samuelsons maturity hypothesis.
ISSN:1088-6931
2384-1648