SHIP COLLISION RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR QINZHOU PORT BASED ON EVENT SEQUENCE DIAGRAM
Qinzhou Port is one of the most important ports in the “Beibu Gulf” of China. It is also the main hub port of the "21st century maritime silk road" strategy. Based on a basic collision risk assessment approach, an Event Sequence Diagram (ESD) model that explains the four-stage collision av...
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2020-01-01
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doaj-44414660d6a8427792de1b36bba72ecd2020-11-25T03:36:29ZengFaculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval ArchitectureBrodogradnja0007-215X1845-58592020-01-0171211410.21278/brod71201236777SHIP COLLISION RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR QINZHOU PORT BASED ON EVENT SEQUENCE DIAGRAMWuliu Tian0Jinfen Zhang1Beibei Meng2Zhaobin Gan3Hong Wan4Yihong He5Quandang Ma6Maritime college, Beibu Gulf University , Qinzhou, China Qinzhou Maritime Navigation And Antifouling Key Laboratory, Beibu Gulf University , Qinzhou, ChinaNational Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, ChinaMaritime college, Beibu Gulf University , Qinzhou, ChinaMaritime college, Beibu Gulf University , Qinzhou, ChinaMaritime college, Beibu Gulf University , Qinzhou, ChinaMaritime college, Beibu Gulf University , Qinzhou, ChinaSchool of Navigation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, China National Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, China Hubei Inland Shipping Technology Key Laboratory, Wuhan University of TechnologQinzhou Port is one of the most important ports in the “Beibu Gulf” of China. It is also the main hub port of the "21st century maritime silk road" strategy. Based on a basic collision risk assessment approach, an Event Sequence Diagram (ESD) model that explains the four-stage collision avoidance decision-making procedure is proposed from the perspectives of perception, cognition, decision, and execution. Using the historical data derived from collision accident reports from the Qinzhou Port waters from 2013 to 2017, as well as the data elicited from expert knowledge, a quantitative evaluation of probability distributions of different collision failure modes is performed. The results are also compared with relevant results from other types of navigation waters to analyse collision risk level of Qinzhou waters. At the same time, the main failures paths of collision avoidance decision making are identified. The proposed model can provide with an overall collision risk picture from a macro perspective.https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/343890 |
collection |
DOAJ |
language |
English |
format |
Article |
sources |
DOAJ |
author |
Wuliu Tian Jinfen Zhang Beibei Meng Zhaobin Gan Hong Wan Yihong He Quandang Ma |
spellingShingle |
Wuliu Tian Jinfen Zhang Beibei Meng Zhaobin Gan Hong Wan Yihong He Quandang Ma SHIP COLLISION RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR QINZHOU PORT BASED ON EVENT SEQUENCE DIAGRAM Brodogradnja |
author_facet |
Wuliu Tian Jinfen Zhang Beibei Meng Zhaobin Gan Hong Wan Yihong He Quandang Ma |
author_sort |
Wuliu Tian |
title |
SHIP COLLISION RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR QINZHOU PORT BASED ON EVENT SEQUENCE DIAGRAM |
title_short |
SHIP COLLISION RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR QINZHOU PORT BASED ON EVENT SEQUENCE DIAGRAM |
title_full |
SHIP COLLISION RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR QINZHOU PORT BASED ON EVENT SEQUENCE DIAGRAM |
title_fullStr |
SHIP COLLISION RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR QINZHOU PORT BASED ON EVENT SEQUENCE DIAGRAM |
title_full_unstemmed |
SHIP COLLISION RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR QINZHOU PORT BASED ON EVENT SEQUENCE DIAGRAM |
title_sort |
ship collision risk assessment model for qinzhou port based on event sequence diagram |
publisher |
Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture |
series |
Brodogradnja |
issn |
0007-215X 1845-5859 |
publishDate |
2020-01-01 |
description |
Qinzhou Port is one of the most important ports in the “Beibu Gulf” of China. It is also the main hub port of the "21st century maritime silk road" strategy. Based on a basic collision risk assessment approach, an Event Sequence Diagram (ESD) model that explains the four-stage collision avoidance decision-making procedure is proposed from the perspectives of perception, cognition, decision, and execution. Using the historical data derived from collision accident reports from the Qinzhou Port waters from 2013 to 2017, as well as the data elicited from expert knowledge, a quantitative evaluation of probability distributions of different collision failure modes is performed. The results are also compared with relevant results from other types of navigation waters to analyse collision risk level of Qinzhou waters. At the same time, the main failures paths of collision avoidance decision making are identified. The proposed model can provide with an overall collision risk picture from a macro perspective. |
url |
https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/343890 |
work_keys_str_mv |
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