| Summary: | Abstract Introduction Plasma markers have been reported to be associated with brain amyloid burden, tau pathology, or neurodegeneration. We aimed to evaluate whether plasma biomarker profiles could predict Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology and clinical progression in older adults without dementia. Methods Cross‐sectional and longitudinal data of participants enrolled in this study were from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI). Plasma amyloid beta (Aβ)1‐42/Aβ1‐40 ratio was selected as the marker for amyloid pathology, p‐tau181 for tau pathology, and neurofilament light for neurodegeneration. Cut‐offs for these plasma markers were calculated with well‐established positron emission tomography and structural imaging biomarkers as reference. Older adults without dementia were categorized into eight groups at baseline by plasma amyloid/tau/neurodegeneration (A/T/N) cut‐offs. Clinical progression was analyzed using linear mixed‐effects models and Cox proportional hazard models. Results A total of 183 participants (97 cognitively normal [CN] subjects and 86 patients with mild cognitive impairment [MCI]; mean age 72.6 years, and 48.1% men) were included. Participants with A+ had significantly higher proportions of apolipoprotein E (APOE) gene ɛ4 carriers than those with A–. Brain atrophy was observed in all groups of CN, whereas cognition decline was obvious in the A+T+N+ group. Compared to A–T–N–, MCI patients with A+T+N+ had faster cognition worsening and faster brain atrophy. In the whole cohort, A+T+N+ and A+T+N– participants were at higher risk of clinical progression. Discussion Plasma A/T/N biomarker profiles may predict AD pathology and clinical progression, indicating a potential role for plasma biomarkers in clinical trials. More research is warranted to develop a robust plasma AD framework.
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