Some Special Characteristics of Track and Intensity of Typhoons Over the Western North Pacific

ABSTRACT: Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) Best Track data from 1995 to 2014 are processed to examine some specific patterns and trends shown by Typhoons over the Western North Pacific. With a multivariate dataset of 588 TC cases in hand, we carry out a sub-domain analysis by dividing the Western...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Tarasha Khurana, S.K. Bhattacharya, S.D. Kotal
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2017-09-01
Series:Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603218301577
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Summary:ABSTRACT: Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) Best Track data from 1995 to 2014 are processed to examine some specific patterns and trends shown by Typhoons over the Western North Pacific. With a multivariate dataset of 588 TC cases in hand, we carry out a sub-domain analysis by dividing the Western North Pacific region into domains of 2°x2° and find the preferred regions of genesis, favourable direction of movement, steep recurvature, rapid intensification, and rapid decay. The region from longitude 132°E to 134°E and latitude 16°N to 18°N showed the highest number of cases (19) for rapid intensification (RI) and a general pattern is found that the RI systems occurred mostly in the later half of the year with a negative Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) index. Similarly, the domain from longitude 114°E to 116°E and latitude 26°N to 28°N had the highest probability of 0.857 for rapid decay. The probabilities of recurvature for each sub-domain were calculated for angles 30°, 45°, 60°, 90°, 120° and 150°. The sub-domain around longitude 118°E and latitude 12°N had the steepest recurve of 168.69°. It also had a high probability of 0.714 for a recurvature of greater than 90°. The most taken direction of movement of typhoons around the Western North Pacific were analysed in different ways and along the 16 points of compass, the direction from 270° to 292.5° was found to be the most preferred direction of movement. Keywords: typhoons, Western North Pacific, genesis, track, recurvature, intensity, rapid intensification, rapid decay, sub-domain, PDO index
ISSN:2225-6032