Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in Taiwan

Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in Taiwan

The total fertility rate in Taiwan has fallen below 1.3 since 2003. The objective of the study is to use perturbation analysis with census data from 1992 to 2017 to identify which demographic parameters are most important to target for population management. The research shows that the fertility of...

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Main Author: Shun-Chieh Hsieh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Hindawi Limited 2020-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8308504
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spelling doaj-41462e7683ea43deaffd363360470d512020-11-25T03:48:35ZengHindawi LimitedDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2020-01-01202010.1155/2020/83085048308504Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in TaiwanShun-Chieh Hsieh0Department of Land Management and Development, Chang Jung Christian University, Tainan 71101, TaiwanThe total fertility rate in Taiwan has fallen below 1.3 since 2003. The objective of the study is to use perturbation analysis with census data from 1992 to 2017 to identify which demographic parameters are most important to target for population management. The research shows that the fertility of older ages plays an important role for declining population in Taiwan. From a practical viewpoint, population management policy having a substantial impact on the survival of prereproductive females and the fertility of order females is likely to produce the most dramatic change in population trends. Therefore, the perturbation analysis is useful in understanding the relative importance of vital rates to increase management effectiveness.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8308504
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Shun-Chieh Hsieh
spellingShingle Shun-Chieh Hsieh
Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in Taiwan
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
author_facet Shun-Chieh Hsieh
author_sort Shun-Chieh Hsieh
title Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in Taiwan
title_short Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in Taiwan
title_full Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in Taiwan
title_fullStr Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in Taiwan
title_full_unstemmed Perturbation Analysis of Population Growth Rates in Taiwan
title_sort perturbation analysis of population growth rates in taiwan
publisher Hindawi Limited
series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
issn 1026-0226
1607-887X
publishDate 2020-01-01
description The total fertility rate in Taiwan has fallen below 1.3 since 2003. The objective of the study is to use perturbation analysis with census data from 1992 to 2017 to identify which demographic parameters are most important to target for population management. The research shows that the fertility of older ages plays an important role for declining population in Taiwan. From a practical viewpoint, population management policy having a substantial impact on the survival of prereproductive females and the fertility of order females is likely to produce the most dramatic change in population trends. Therefore, the perturbation analysis is useful in understanding the relative importance of vital rates to increase management effectiveness.
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8308504
work_keys_str_mv AT shunchiehhsieh perturbationanalysisofpopulationgrowthratesintaiwan
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