Inter-annual variation in seasonal dengue epidemics driven by multiple interacting factors in Guangzhou, China

In 2014 Guangzhou, China experienced its worse dengue epidemic on record. To determine the reasons for this the authors model historical data under combinations of four time-varying factors and find that past epidemics were limited by one or more unfavourable conditions, but the 2014 epidemic faced...

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Main Authors: Rachel J. Oidtman, Shengjie Lai, Zhoujie Huang, Juan Yang, Amir S. Siraj, Robert C. Reiner, Andrew J. Tatem, T. Alex Perkins, Hongjie Yu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2019-03-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09035-x
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spelling doaj-3d3b052142814d529cc96efc5993c6542021-05-11T12:40:18ZengNature Publishing GroupNature Communications2041-17232019-03-0110111210.1038/s41467-019-09035-xInter-annual variation in seasonal dengue epidemics driven by multiple interacting factors in Guangzhou, ChinaRachel J. Oidtman0Shengjie Lai1Zhoujie Huang2Juan Yang3Amir S. Siraj4Robert C. Reiner5Andrew J. Tatem6T. Alex Perkins7Hongjie Yu8Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre DameSchool of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of EducationSchool of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of EducationSchool of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of EducationDepartment of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre DameInstitute for Health and Metrics and Evaluation, University of WashingtonWorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of SouthamptonDepartment of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre DameSchool of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of EducationIn 2014 Guangzhou, China experienced its worse dengue epidemic on record. To determine the reasons for this the authors model historical data under combinations of four time-varying factors and find that past epidemics were limited by one or more unfavourable conditions, but the 2014 epidemic faced none of these restraints.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09035-x
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Rachel J. Oidtman
Shengjie Lai
Zhoujie Huang
Juan Yang
Amir S. Siraj
Robert C. Reiner
Andrew J. Tatem
T. Alex Perkins
Hongjie Yu
spellingShingle Rachel J. Oidtman
Shengjie Lai
Zhoujie Huang
Juan Yang
Amir S. Siraj
Robert C. Reiner
Andrew J. Tatem
T. Alex Perkins
Hongjie Yu
Inter-annual variation in seasonal dengue epidemics driven by multiple interacting factors in Guangzhou, China
Nature Communications
author_facet Rachel J. Oidtman
Shengjie Lai
Zhoujie Huang
Juan Yang
Amir S. Siraj
Robert C. Reiner
Andrew J. Tatem
T. Alex Perkins
Hongjie Yu
author_sort Rachel J. Oidtman
title Inter-annual variation in seasonal dengue epidemics driven by multiple interacting factors in Guangzhou, China
title_short Inter-annual variation in seasonal dengue epidemics driven by multiple interacting factors in Guangzhou, China
title_full Inter-annual variation in seasonal dengue epidemics driven by multiple interacting factors in Guangzhou, China
title_fullStr Inter-annual variation in seasonal dengue epidemics driven by multiple interacting factors in Guangzhou, China
title_full_unstemmed Inter-annual variation in seasonal dengue epidemics driven by multiple interacting factors in Guangzhou, China
title_sort inter-annual variation in seasonal dengue epidemics driven by multiple interacting factors in guangzhou, china
publisher Nature Publishing Group
series Nature Communications
issn 2041-1723
publishDate 2019-03-01
description In 2014 Guangzhou, China experienced its worse dengue epidemic on record. To determine the reasons for this the authors model historical data under combinations of four time-varying factors and find that past epidemics were limited by one or more unfavourable conditions, but the 2014 epidemic faced none of these restraints.
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09035-x
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