Cross Validation of Prediction Models for Seasonal Time Series by Parametric Bootstrapping

Out-of-sample prediction for the final portion of a sample is a popular tool for model selection in model-based forecasting. We suggest to add a simulation step to this exercise, where pseudo-samples are generated (parametrically bootstrapped), conditional on the observed data and on any of the can...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Robert M. Kunst
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Austrian Statistical Society 2016-04-01
Series:Austrian Journal of Statistics
Online Access:http://www.ajs.or.at/index.php/ajs/article/view/308

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