A Note on the Risk of Infections Invading Unaffected Regions

We present two probabilistic models to estimate the risk of introducing infectious diseases into previously unaffected countries/regions by infective travellers. We analyse two distinct situations, one dealing with a directly transmitted infection (measles in Italy in 2017) and one dealing with a ve...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Marcos Amaku, Francisco Antonio Bezerra Coutinho, Margaret Armstrong, Eduardo Massad
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Hindawi Limited 2018-01-01
Series:Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/6289681