Long-Term Trends in International Migration: Lessons from Macroeconomic Model
In this paper I develop a stylized model of the world economy and use it to explain the long-run trends in international migration. The model very well fits the trends of the last 40 years which are mainly governed by the evolution of population disparities between industrialized and developing coun...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Sciendo
2018-04-01
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| Series: | Economics and Business Review |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2018.1.1 |
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doaj-3230d9ec72ba491791936e218d5fc3492021-09-05T17:19:27ZengSciendoEconomics and Business Review2450-00972018-04-014131510.18559/ebr.2018.1.1ebr.2018.1.1Long-Term Trends in International Migration: Lessons from Macroeconomic ModelDocquier Frédéric0FNRS and IRES Universite catholique de Louvain, B-1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, BelgiqueIn this paper I develop a stylized model of the world economy and use it to explain the long-run trends in international migration. The model very well fits the trends of the last 40 years which are mainly governed by the evolution of population disparities between industrialized and developing countries. Then I provide migration projections for the 21st century and show that future migration is also governed by socio-demographic changes. I predict a robust increase in immigration pressures from sub-Saharan Africa and MENA countries to European countries.https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2018.1.1international migrationprojectionsworld economyinequality. |
| collection |
DOAJ |
| language |
English |
| format |
Article |
| sources |
DOAJ |
| author |
Docquier Frédéric |
| spellingShingle |
Docquier Frédéric Long-Term Trends in International Migration: Lessons from Macroeconomic Model Economics and Business Review international migration projections world economy inequality. |
| author_facet |
Docquier Frédéric |
| author_sort |
Docquier Frédéric |
| title |
Long-Term Trends in International Migration: Lessons from Macroeconomic Model |
| title_short |
Long-Term Trends in International Migration: Lessons from Macroeconomic Model |
| title_full |
Long-Term Trends in International Migration: Lessons from Macroeconomic Model |
| title_fullStr |
Long-Term Trends in International Migration: Lessons from Macroeconomic Model |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Long-Term Trends in International Migration: Lessons from Macroeconomic Model |
| title_sort |
long-term trends in international migration: lessons from macroeconomic model |
| publisher |
Sciendo |
| series |
Economics and Business Review |
| issn |
2450-0097 |
| publishDate |
2018-04-01 |
| description |
In this paper I develop a stylized model of the world economy and use it to explain the long-run trends in international migration. The model very well fits the trends of the last 40 years which are mainly governed by the evolution of population disparities between industrialized and developing countries. Then I provide migration projections for the 21st century and show that future migration is also governed by socio-demographic changes. I predict a robust increase in immigration pressures from sub-Saharan Africa and MENA countries to European countries. |
| topic |
international migration projections world economy inequality. |
| url |
https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2018.1.1 |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT docquierfrederic longtermtrendsininternationalmigrationlessonsfrommacroeconomicmodel |
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1717786696722939904 |