The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures

Releasing COVID-19 lockdown measures risks increases in transmission. Here, the authors estimate the increase in transmission rate for different regions in Italy and estimate that isolation of 5.5% exposed and highly infectious individuals would be needed to compensate for a 40% increase in transmis...

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Main Authors: Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Damiano Pasetto, Stefano Miccoli, Renato Casagrandi, Marino Gatto, Andrea Rinaldo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2020-08-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18050-2
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spelling doaj-31a51ea3118d4a3ba68ea25375ef2f202021-08-29T11:39:15ZengNature Publishing GroupNature Communications2041-17232020-08-0111111110.1038/s41467-020-18050-2The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measuresEnrico Bertuzzo0Lorenzo Mari1Damiano Pasetto2Stefano Miccoli3Renato Casagrandi4Marino Gatto5Andrea Rinaldo6Dipartimento di Scienze Ambientali, Informatica e Statistica, Universitá Ca’ Foscari VeneziaDipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di MilanoDipartimento di Scienze Ambientali, Informatica e Statistica, Universitá Ca’ Foscari VeneziaDipartimento di Meccanica, Politecnico di MilanoDipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di MilanoDipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di MilanoLaboratory of Ecohydrology, École Polytechnique Fédérale de LausanneReleasing COVID-19 lockdown measures risks increases in transmission. Here, the authors estimate the increase in transmission rate for different regions in Italy and estimate that isolation of 5.5% exposed and highly infectious individuals would be needed to compensate for a 40% increase in transmission.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18050-2
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Enrico Bertuzzo
Lorenzo Mari
Damiano Pasetto
Stefano Miccoli
Renato Casagrandi
Marino Gatto
Andrea Rinaldo
spellingShingle Enrico Bertuzzo
Lorenzo Mari
Damiano Pasetto
Stefano Miccoli
Renato Casagrandi
Marino Gatto
Andrea Rinaldo
The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures
Nature Communications
author_facet Enrico Bertuzzo
Lorenzo Mari
Damiano Pasetto
Stefano Miccoli
Renato Casagrandi
Marino Gatto
Andrea Rinaldo
author_sort Enrico Bertuzzo
title The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures
title_short The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures
title_full The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures
title_fullStr The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures
title_full_unstemmed The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures
title_sort geography of covid-19 spread in italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures
publisher Nature Publishing Group
series Nature Communications
issn 2041-1723
publishDate 2020-08-01
description Releasing COVID-19 lockdown measures risks increases in transmission. Here, the authors estimate the increase in transmission rate for different regions in Italy and estimate that isolation of 5.5% exposed and highly infectious individuals would be needed to compensate for a 40% increase in transmission.
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18050-2
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