The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures

Releasing COVID-19 lockdown measures risks increases in transmission. Here, the authors estimate the increase in transmission rate for different regions in Italy and estimate that isolation of 5.5% exposed and highly infectious individuals would be needed to compensate for a 40% increase in transmis...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Damiano Pasetto, Stefano Miccoli, Renato Casagrandi, Marino Gatto, Andrea Rinaldo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2020-08-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18050-2
Description
Summary:Releasing COVID-19 lockdown measures risks increases in transmission. Here, the authors estimate the increase in transmission rate for different regions in Italy and estimate that isolation of 5.5% exposed and highly infectious individuals would be needed to compensate for a 40% increase in transmission.
ISSN:2041-1723