Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak

Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak

An analysis of multiple linear regression method applied to solar cycles 4 to 23 using lagged values of smoothed monthly mean sunspot numbers as independent variables is presented. According to that, the amplitude of current solar cycle 24 is estimated providing a quantitative prediction result. Our...

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Main Author: V. M. Silbergleit
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Hindawi Limited 2012-01-01
Series:Advances in Astronomy
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/167375
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spelling doaj-2e2ed22d78ac4b4187a596ddae5b92a42020-11-24T22:34:59ZengHindawi LimitedAdvances in Astronomy1687-79691687-79772012-01-01201210.1155/2012/167375167375Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle PeakV. M. Silbergleit0Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET), Buenos Aires, ArgentinaAn analysis of multiple linear regression method applied to solar cycles 4 to 23 using lagged values of smoothed monthly mean sunspot numbers as independent variables is presented. According to that, the amplitude of current solar cycle 24 is estimated providing a quantitative prediction result. Our adjustment shows that the current cycle would have a sunspot peak less than the biggest one observed during the cycle 19 giving an additional support to the declination in solar activity which is currently happening.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/167375
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author V. M. Silbergleit
spellingShingle V. M. Silbergleit
Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak
Advances in Astronomy
author_facet V. M. Silbergleit
author_sort V. M. Silbergleit
title Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak
title_short Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak
title_full Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak
title_fullStr Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak
title_full_unstemmed Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak
title_sort probable values of current solar cycle peak
publisher Hindawi Limited
series Advances in Astronomy
issn 1687-7969
1687-7977
publishDate 2012-01-01
description An analysis of multiple linear regression method applied to solar cycles 4 to 23 using lagged values of smoothed monthly mean sunspot numbers as independent variables is presented. According to that, the amplitude of current solar cycle 24 is estimated providing a quantitative prediction result. Our adjustment shows that the current cycle would have a sunspot peak less than the biggest one observed during the cycle 19 giving an additional support to the declination in solar activity which is currently happening.
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/167375
work_keys_str_mv AT vmsilbergleit probablevaluesofcurrentsolarcyclepeak
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