Bayesian Network as a Decision Tool for Predicting ALS Disease

Clinical diagnosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is difficult in the early period. But blood tests are less time consuming and low cost methods compared to other methods for the diagnosis. The ALS researchers have been used machine learning methods to predict the genetic architecture of dis...

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Main Authors: Hasan Aykut Karaboga, Aslihan Gunel, Senay Vural Korkut, Ibrahim Demir, Resit Celik
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-01-01
Series:Brain Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3425/11/2/150
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spelling doaj-2dac633a07ee4032bee4afd6591049702021-01-24T00:03:24ZengMDPI AGBrain Sciences2076-34252021-01-011115015010.3390/brainsci11020150Bayesian Network as a Decision Tool for Predicting ALS DiseaseHasan Aykut Karaboga0Aslihan Gunel1Senay Vural Korkut2Ibrahim Demir3Resit Celik4Department of Statistics, Amasya University, Amasya 05100, TurkeyDepartment of Chemistry, Ahi Evran University, Kirsehir 40200, TurkeyDepartment of Molecular Biology and Genetics, Yildiz Technical University, Istanbul 34220, TurkeyDepartment of Statistics, Yildiz Technical University, Istanbul 34220, TurkeyDepartment of Statistics, Yildiz Technical University, Istanbul 34220, TurkeyClinical diagnosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is difficult in the early period. But blood tests are less time consuming and low cost methods compared to other methods for the diagnosis. The ALS researchers have been used machine learning methods to predict the genetic architecture of disease. In this study we take advantages of Bayesian networks and machine learning methods to predict the ALS patients with blood plasma protein level and independent personal features. According to the comparison results, Bayesian Networks produced best results with accuracy (0.887), area under the curve (AUC) (0.970) and other comparison metrics. We confirmed that sex and age are effective variables on the ALS. In addition, we found that the probability of onset involvement in the ALS patients is very high. Also, a person’s other chronic or neurological diseases are associated with the ALS disease. Finally, we confirmed that the Parkin level may also have an effect on the ALS disease. While this protein is at very low levels in Parkinson’s patients, it is higher in the ALS patients than all control groups.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3425/11/2/150motor neuron diseaseamyotrophic lateral sclerosisParkinson’s diseasemachine learningBayesian networkspredictive model
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Hasan Aykut Karaboga
Aslihan Gunel
Senay Vural Korkut
Ibrahim Demir
Resit Celik
spellingShingle Hasan Aykut Karaboga
Aslihan Gunel
Senay Vural Korkut
Ibrahim Demir
Resit Celik
Bayesian Network as a Decision Tool for Predicting ALS Disease
Brain Sciences
motor neuron disease
amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
Parkinson’s disease
machine learning
Bayesian networks
predictive model
author_facet Hasan Aykut Karaboga
Aslihan Gunel
Senay Vural Korkut
Ibrahim Demir
Resit Celik
author_sort Hasan Aykut Karaboga
title Bayesian Network as a Decision Tool for Predicting ALS Disease
title_short Bayesian Network as a Decision Tool for Predicting ALS Disease
title_full Bayesian Network as a Decision Tool for Predicting ALS Disease
title_fullStr Bayesian Network as a Decision Tool for Predicting ALS Disease
title_full_unstemmed Bayesian Network as a Decision Tool for Predicting ALS Disease
title_sort bayesian network as a decision tool for predicting als disease
publisher MDPI AG
series Brain Sciences
issn 2076-3425
publishDate 2021-01-01
description Clinical diagnosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is difficult in the early period. But blood tests are less time consuming and low cost methods compared to other methods for the diagnosis. The ALS researchers have been used machine learning methods to predict the genetic architecture of disease. In this study we take advantages of Bayesian networks and machine learning methods to predict the ALS patients with blood plasma protein level and independent personal features. According to the comparison results, Bayesian Networks produced best results with accuracy (0.887), area under the curve (AUC) (0.970) and other comparison metrics. We confirmed that sex and age are effective variables on the ALS. In addition, we found that the probability of onset involvement in the ALS patients is very high. Also, a person’s other chronic or neurological diseases are associated with the ALS disease. Finally, we confirmed that the Parkin level may also have an effect on the ALS disease. While this protein is at very low levels in Parkinson’s patients, it is higher in the ALS patients than all control groups.
topic motor neuron disease
amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
Parkinson’s disease
machine learning
Bayesian networks
predictive model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3425/11/2/150
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AT ibrahimdemir bayesiannetworkasadecisiontoolforpredictingalsdisease
AT resitcelik bayesiannetworkasadecisiontoolforpredictingalsdisease
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