A Comparative Trend Analysis of Changes in Teacher Rate of Absenteeism in South Africa

The aim of this research was to analyze the changes in the rate of teacher absenteeism among South African provinces as a major in-class factor contributing to student performance and effective learning. Time series analysis of exponential smoothing, moving average, and seasonal autoregressive integ...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Steven Kayambazinthu Msosa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-07-01
Series:Education Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7102/10/8/189
id doaj-2bf37bfe877547a0b9173972e731a2de
record_format Article
spelling doaj-2bf37bfe877547a0b9173972e731a2de2020-11-25T03:26:33ZengMDPI AGEducation Sciences2227-71022020-07-011018918910.3390/educsci10080189A Comparative Trend Analysis of Changes in Teacher Rate of Absenteeism in South AfricaSteven Kayambazinthu Msosa0Department of Marketing, Faculty of Management Sciences, Mangosuthu University of Technology, Durban 4031, South AfricaThe aim of this research was to analyze the changes in the rate of teacher absenteeism among South African provinces as a major in-class factor contributing to student performance and effective learning. Time series analysis of exponential smoothing, moving average, and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model (SARIMA) were applied to model and assess the designed hypothesis as a major factor for educational advancement using different provincial data input from the Department of Basic Education in South Africa. The performances of all the models were analyzed using statistical indexes: Mean Square Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The overall performance showed that the absence rate increased statistically significantly from 2011 to 2017. Thus, this opinion was held by more than half of the general populace depending on the province type. The findings of this research could assist the management of the basic education department in general, and in schools in particular, to understand the problem of absenteeism and thereby enabling the implementation of effective strategies that can be used to curb the practice.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7102/10/8/189Basic educationSouth Africateacher absenteeismexponential smoothingtrend analysis
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Steven Kayambazinthu Msosa
spellingShingle Steven Kayambazinthu Msosa
A Comparative Trend Analysis of Changes in Teacher Rate of Absenteeism in South Africa
Education Sciences
Basic education
South Africa
teacher absenteeism
exponential smoothing
trend analysis
author_facet Steven Kayambazinthu Msosa
author_sort Steven Kayambazinthu Msosa
title A Comparative Trend Analysis of Changes in Teacher Rate of Absenteeism in South Africa
title_short A Comparative Trend Analysis of Changes in Teacher Rate of Absenteeism in South Africa
title_full A Comparative Trend Analysis of Changes in Teacher Rate of Absenteeism in South Africa
title_fullStr A Comparative Trend Analysis of Changes in Teacher Rate of Absenteeism in South Africa
title_full_unstemmed A Comparative Trend Analysis of Changes in Teacher Rate of Absenteeism in South Africa
title_sort comparative trend analysis of changes in teacher rate of absenteeism in south africa
publisher MDPI AG
series Education Sciences
issn 2227-7102
publishDate 2020-07-01
description The aim of this research was to analyze the changes in the rate of teacher absenteeism among South African provinces as a major in-class factor contributing to student performance and effective learning. Time series analysis of exponential smoothing, moving average, and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model (SARIMA) were applied to model and assess the designed hypothesis as a major factor for educational advancement using different provincial data input from the Department of Basic Education in South Africa. The performances of all the models were analyzed using statistical indexes: Mean Square Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The overall performance showed that the absence rate increased statistically significantly from 2011 to 2017. Thus, this opinion was held by more than half of the general populace depending on the province type. The findings of this research could assist the management of the basic education department in general, and in schools in particular, to understand the problem of absenteeism and thereby enabling the implementation of effective strategies that can be used to curb the practice.
topic Basic education
South Africa
teacher absenteeism
exponential smoothing
trend analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7102/10/8/189
work_keys_str_mv AT stevenkayambazinthumsosa acomparativetrendanalysisofchangesinteacherrateofabsenteeisminsouthafrica
AT stevenkayambazinthumsosa comparativetrendanalysisofchangesinteacherrateofabsenteeisminsouthafrica
_version_ 1724592083740655616