Projecting the Spread of COVID-19 for Germany

Abstract The authors model the evolution of the number of confi rmed cases of COVID-19 in Germany. Their theoretical framework builds on a continuous time Markov chain with four physical states: healthy, sick, recovered or asymptomatic infected, and dead. Their quantitative solution matches the numb...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jean Roch Donsimoni, René Glawion, Bodo Plachter, Klaus Wälde
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Springer 2020-04-01
Series:Wirtschaftsdienst
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-020-2631-5