A Brief History of Long Memory: Hurst, Mandelbrot and the Road to ARFIMA, 1951–1980

Long memory plays an important role in many fields by determining the behaviour and predictability of systems; for instance, climate, hydrology, finance, networks and DNA sequencing. In particular, it is important to test if a process is exhibiting long memory since that impacts the accuracy and con...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Timothy Graves, Robert Gramacy, Nicholas Watkins, Christian Franzke
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2017-08-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/19/9/437
id doaj-28c7d93b67c64840a50ed06c1cbad357
record_format Article
spelling doaj-28c7d93b67c64840a50ed06c1cbad3572020-11-24T23:55:58ZengMDPI AGEntropy1099-43002017-08-0119943710.3390/e19090437e19090437A Brief History of Long Memory: Hurst, Mandelbrot and the Road to ARFIMA, 1951–1980Timothy Graves0Robert Gramacy1Nicholas Watkins2Christian Franzke3Statistics Laboratory, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB3 0WB, UKStatistics Laboratory, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB3 0WB, UKCentre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UKMeteorological Institute, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability, University of Hamburg, 20146 Hamburg, GermanyLong memory plays an important role in many fields by determining the behaviour and predictability of systems; for instance, climate, hydrology, finance, networks and DNA sequencing. In particular, it is important to test if a process is exhibiting long memory since that impacts the accuracy and confidence with which one may predict future events on the basis of a small amount of historical data. A major force in the development and study of long memory was the late Benoit B. Mandelbrot. Here, we discuss the original motivation of the development of long memory and Mandelbrot’s influence on this fascinating field. We will also elucidate the sometimes contrasting approaches to long memory in different scientific communities.https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/19/9/437long-range dependenceHurst effectfractionally differenced modelsMandelbrot
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Timothy Graves
Robert Gramacy
Nicholas Watkins
Christian Franzke
spellingShingle Timothy Graves
Robert Gramacy
Nicholas Watkins
Christian Franzke
A Brief History of Long Memory: Hurst, Mandelbrot and the Road to ARFIMA, 1951–1980
Entropy
long-range dependence
Hurst effect
fractionally differenced models
Mandelbrot
author_facet Timothy Graves
Robert Gramacy
Nicholas Watkins
Christian Franzke
author_sort Timothy Graves
title A Brief History of Long Memory: Hurst, Mandelbrot and the Road to ARFIMA, 1951–1980
title_short A Brief History of Long Memory: Hurst, Mandelbrot and the Road to ARFIMA, 1951–1980
title_full A Brief History of Long Memory: Hurst, Mandelbrot and the Road to ARFIMA, 1951–1980
title_fullStr A Brief History of Long Memory: Hurst, Mandelbrot and the Road to ARFIMA, 1951–1980
title_full_unstemmed A Brief History of Long Memory: Hurst, Mandelbrot and the Road to ARFIMA, 1951–1980
title_sort brief history of long memory: hurst, mandelbrot and the road to arfima, 1951–1980
publisher MDPI AG
series Entropy
issn 1099-4300
publishDate 2017-08-01
description Long memory plays an important role in many fields by determining the behaviour and predictability of systems; for instance, climate, hydrology, finance, networks and DNA sequencing. In particular, it is important to test if a process is exhibiting long memory since that impacts the accuracy and confidence with which one may predict future events on the basis of a small amount of historical data. A major force in the development and study of long memory was the late Benoit B. Mandelbrot. Here, we discuss the original motivation of the development of long memory and Mandelbrot’s influence on this fascinating field. We will also elucidate the sometimes contrasting approaches to long memory in different scientific communities.
topic long-range dependence
Hurst effect
fractionally differenced models
Mandelbrot
url https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/19/9/437
work_keys_str_mv AT timothygraves abriefhistoryoflongmemoryhurstmandelbrotandtheroadtoarfima19511980
AT robertgramacy abriefhistoryoflongmemoryhurstmandelbrotandtheroadtoarfima19511980
AT nicholaswatkins abriefhistoryoflongmemoryhurstmandelbrotandtheroadtoarfima19511980
AT christianfranzke abriefhistoryoflongmemoryhurstmandelbrotandtheroadtoarfima19511980
AT timothygraves briefhistoryoflongmemoryhurstmandelbrotandtheroadtoarfima19511980
AT robertgramacy briefhistoryoflongmemoryhurstmandelbrotandtheroadtoarfima19511980
AT nicholaswatkins briefhistoryoflongmemoryhurstmandelbrotandtheroadtoarfima19511980
AT christianfranzke briefhistoryoflongmemoryhurstmandelbrotandtheroadtoarfima19511980
_version_ 1725460319577309184