Use of Bayesian Estimates to determine the Volatility Parameter Input in the Black-Scholes and Binomial Option Pricing Models

The valuation of options and many other derivative instruments requires an estimation of exante or forward looking volatility. This paper adopts a Bayesian approach to estimate stock price volatility. We find evidence that overall Bayesian volatility estimates more closely approximate the implied vo...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Shu Wing Ho, Alan Lee, Alastair Marsden
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2011-12-01
Series:Journal of Risk and Financial Management
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/4/1/74