Summary: | Security and governance in Ghazni Province,
Afghanistan are threatened by resource conflict dynamics: groups focus on exploiting lootable
resources in the short term while weak institutions and conflict persist. Elements within the
Afghan government and insurgent organizations alike expand their power and influence in this
manner. Understanding how criminal organizations operate within the regional political economy is
essential to reducing the leverage these networks, associated criminal syndicates, and corrupt
government officials have on the community. We proffer three hypotheses for development and
stability practitioners to monitor as transition approaches in 2014, as well as recommendations
for mitigating the onset of resource conflict in Ghazni as the province experiences a downgrade
in foreign security forces. Adopting effective, anti-insurgency policies will be fundamental to
mitigating the malicious effects on the population and providing incentives for peace, rather
than continuing conflict.
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