Detecting Presymptomatic Infection Is Necessary to Forecast Major Epidemics in the Earliest Stages of Infectious Disease Outbreaks.

We assess how presymptomatic infection affects predictability of infectious disease epidemics. We focus on whether or not a major outbreak (i.e. an epidemic that will go on to infect a large number of individuals) can be predicted reliably soon after initial cases of disease have appeared within a p...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Robin N Thompson, Christopher A Gilligan, Nik J Cunniffe
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2016-04-01
Series:PLoS Computational Biology
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4821482?pdf=render