| Summary: | Osteoarthritis (OA) is associated with higher cardiovascular mortality risk. High-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) are well-characterized prognostic cardiac markers. We aimed to describe the changes in biomarkers measured one year apart in a cohort of 347 subjects with OA who underwent hip or knee replacement surgery in 1995/1996 and to analyze the prognostic value of repeated measurements for long-term mortality. During a median follow-up of 19 years, 209 (60.2%) subjects died. Substantial changes in cardiac biomarkers, especially for NT-proBNP, and an independent prognostic value of NT-proBNP for long-term mortality were found for both baseline measurement concentration (hazard ratio (HR) 1.32, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.13–1.55)) and follow-up measurement concentration (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.18–1.64) (all HR per standard deviation increase after natural log-transformation). Baseline concentrations were correlated with follow-up concentrations of NT-proBNP and no longer showed prognostic value when included simultaneously in a single model (HR 1.08, 95% CI 0.86–1.37), whereas the estimate for the one-year measurement remained robust (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.04–1.66). Therefore, no significant additional benefit of repeated NT-proBNP measurements was found in this cohort, facilitating the use of a single NT-proBNP measurement as a stable prognostic marker.
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