STOCHASTIC METHODS IN RISK ANALYSIS

In this paper, we review basic stochastic methods which can be used to extend state-of-the-art deterministic analytical methods for risk analysis. We can conclude that the standard deterministic analytical methods highly depend on the practical experience and knowledge of the evaluator and therefore...

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Main Author: Vladimíra OSADSKÁ
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: VŠB – Technical University of Ostrava, Faculty of Safety Engineering 2017-06-01
Series:Transactions of the VŠB: Technical University of Ostrava, Safety Engineering Series
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.degruyter.com/downloadpdf/j/tvsbses.2017.12.issue-1/tvsbses-2017-0008/tvsbses-2017-0008.pdf
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spelling doaj-1da5002c038c4758a10265ef0ab2cb8c2020-11-24T23:24:35ZengVŠB – Technical University of Ostrava, Faculty of Safety EngineeringTransactions of the VŠB: Technical University of Ostrava, Safety Engineering Series1805-32382017-06-01121616710.1515/tvsbses-2017-0008 STOCHASTIC METHODS IN RISK ANALYSISVladimíra OSADSKÁ0VŠB - Technical University of Ostrava, Faculty of Safety Engineering, Ostrava, Czech RepublicIn this paper, we review basic stochastic methods which can be used to extend state-of-the-art deterministic analytical methods for risk analysis. We can conclude that the standard deterministic analytical methods highly depend on the practical experience and knowledge of the evaluator and therefore, the stochastic methods should be introduced. The new risk analysis methods should consider the uncertainties in input values. We present how large is the impact on the results of the analysis solving practical example of FMECA with uncertainties modelled using Monte Carlo sampling.https://www.degruyter.com/downloadpdf/j/tvsbses.2017.12.issue-1/tvsbses-2017-0008/tvsbses-2017-0008.pdfAnalytical methodsstochastics methodsrisk analysissafety managementMonte Carlo
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Vladimíra OSADSKÁ
spellingShingle Vladimíra OSADSKÁ
STOCHASTIC METHODS IN RISK ANALYSIS
Transactions of the VŠB: Technical University of Ostrava, Safety Engineering Series
Analytical methods
stochastics methods
risk analysis
safety management
Monte Carlo
author_facet Vladimíra OSADSKÁ
author_sort Vladimíra OSADSKÁ
title STOCHASTIC METHODS IN RISK ANALYSIS
title_short STOCHASTIC METHODS IN RISK ANALYSIS
title_full STOCHASTIC METHODS IN RISK ANALYSIS
title_fullStr STOCHASTIC METHODS IN RISK ANALYSIS
title_full_unstemmed STOCHASTIC METHODS IN RISK ANALYSIS
title_sort stochastic methods in risk analysis
publisher VŠB – Technical University of Ostrava, Faculty of Safety Engineering
series Transactions of the VŠB: Technical University of Ostrava, Safety Engineering Series
issn 1805-3238
publishDate 2017-06-01
description In this paper, we review basic stochastic methods which can be used to extend state-of-the-art deterministic analytical methods for risk analysis. We can conclude that the standard deterministic analytical methods highly depend on the practical experience and knowledge of the evaluator and therefore, the stochastic methods should be introduced. The new risk analysis methods should consider the uncertainties in input values. We present how large is the impact on the results of the analysis solving practical example of FMECA with uncertainties modelled using Monte Carlo sampling.
topic Analytical methods
stochastics methods
risk analysis
safety management
Monte Carlo
url https://www.degruyter.com/downloadpdf/j/tvsbses.2017.12.issue-1/tvsbses-2017-0008/tvsbses-2017-0008.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT vladimiraosadska stochasticmethodsinriskanalysis
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