Growth of finite errors in ensemble prediction

We study the predictability of chaotic conservative and dissipative maps in the context of ensemble prediction. Finite-size perturbations around a reference trajectory are evolved under the full nonlinear system dynamics; this evolution is characterized by error growth factors and investigated as a...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: M. Harle, F. Kwasniok, U. Feudel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2006-01-01
Series:Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Online Access:http://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/13/167/2006/npg-13-167-2006.pdf