The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States

The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States

This paper discusses the impact of a series of psychological phenomena on the U.S. response to COVID-19, focusing on forecasts of cases and deaths. The specific phenomena comprise unrealistic optimism bias, overconfidence, anchoring and adjustment, representativeness, motivated reasoning, and groupt...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Hersh Shefrin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-11-01
Series:Frontiers in Psychology
Subjects:
biases
forecasts
deaths
cases
pandemic (COVID-19)
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.590594/full
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spelling doaj-1af01bd1a67f4f64aa4bca7a1a6c067b2020-11-25T03:36:30ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Psychology1664-10782020-11-011110.3389/fpsyg.2020.590594590594The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United StatesHersh ShefrinThis paper discusses the impact of a series of psychological phenomena on the U.S. response to COVID-19, focusing on forecasts of cases and deaths. The specific phenomena comprise unrealistic optimism bias, overconfidence, anchoring and adjustment, representativeness, motivated reasoning, and groupthink.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.590594/fullbiasesforecastsdeathscasespandemic (COVID-19)
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Hersh Shefrin
spellingShingle Hersh Shefrin
The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
Frontiers in Psychology
biases
forecasts
deaths
cases
pandemic (COVID-19)
author_facet Hersh Shefrin
author_sort Hersh Shefrin
title The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
title_short The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
title_full The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
title_fullStr The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
title_full_unstemmed The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
title_sort psychology underlying biased forecasts of covid-19 cases and deaths in the united states
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
series Frontiers in Psychology
issn 1664-1078
publishDate 2020-11-01
description This paper discusses the impact of a series of psychological phenomena on the U.S. response to COVID-19, focusing on forecasts of cases and deaths. The specific phenomena comprise unrealistic optimism bias, overconfidence, anchoring and adjustment, representativeness, motivated reasoning, and groupthink.
topic biases
forecasts
deaths
cases
pandemic (COVID-19)
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.590594/full
work_keys_str_mv AT hershshefrin thepsychologyunderlyingbiasedforecastsofcovid19casesanddeathsintheunitedstates
AT hershshefrin psychologyunderlyingbiasedforecastsofcovid19casesanddeathsintheunitedstates
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