Explainable models for forecasting the emergence of political instability.

Building on previous research on the use of macroeconomic factors for conflict prediction and using data on political instability provided by the Political Instability Task Force, this article proposes two minimal forecasting models of political instability optimised to have the greatest possible pr...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Emma Baillie, Piers D L Howe, Andrew Perfors, Tim Miller, Yoshihisa Kashima, Andreas Beger
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0254350