Price Formation Modelling by Continuous-Time Random Walk: An Empirical Study

Markovian and non-Markovian models are presented to model the futures market price formation. We show that the waiting-time and the survival probabilities have a significant impact on the price dynamics. This study tests analytical solutions and present numerical results for the prob...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Frédéric Délèze, Sergey Osmekhin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology 2015-01-01
Series:Journal of Engineering Science and Technology Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.jestr.org/downloads/Volume8Issue1/fulltext38115.pdf
Description
Summary:Markovian and non-Markovian models are presented to model the futures market price formation. We show that the waiting-time and the survival probabilities have a significant impact on the price dynamics. This study tests analytical solutions and present numerical results for the probability density function of the continuoustime random walk using tick-by-tick quotes prices for the DAX 30 index futures.
ISSN:1791-2377
1791-2377