A novel probabilistic forecast system predicting anomalously warm 2018-2022 reinforcing the long-term global warming trend

A novel probabilistic forecast system predicting anomalously warm 2018-2022 reinforcing the long-term global warming trend

Accurate near-term predictions of global temperatures are required to determine some of the key impacts of climate change. Here the authors develop a novel probabilistic forecast system that shows anomalously warm temperatures for the next years with increased risk of extreme warming.

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Florian Sévellec, Sybren S. Drijfhout
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2018-08-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-05442-8
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spelling doaj-18248aaa08074e3c8232a3e6d5eb09c62021-05-11T10:29:09ZengNature Publishing GroupNature Communications2041-17232018-08-019111210.1038/s41467-018-05442-8A novel probabilistic forecast system predicting anomalously warm 2018-2022 reinforcing the long-term global warming trendFlorian Sévellec0Sybren S. Drijfhout1Laboratoire d’Océanographie Physique et Spatiale, UMR6523, Univ. Brest, CNRS-Ifremer-UBO-IRDOcean and Earth Science, University of SouthamptonAccurate near-term predictions of global temperatures are required to determine some of the key impacts of climate change. Here the authors develop a novel probabilistic forecast system that shows anomalously warm temperatures for the next years with increased risk of extreme warming.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-05442-8
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Florian Sévellec
Sybren S. Drijfhout
spellingShingle Florian Sévellec
Sybren S. Drijfhout
A novel probabilistic forecast system predicting anomalously warm 2018-2022 reinforcing the long-term global warming trend
Nature Communications
author_facet Florian Sévellec
Sybren S. Drijfhout
author_sort Florian Sévellec
title A novel probabilistic forecast system predicting anomalously warm 2018-2022 reinforcing the long-term global warming trend
title_short A novel probabilistic forecast system predicting anomalously warm 2018-2022 reinforcing the long-term global warming trend
title_full A novel probabilistic forecast system predicting anomalously warm 2018-2022 reinforcing the long-term global warming trend
title_fullStr A novel probabilistic forecast system predicting anomalously warm 2018-2022 reinforcing the long-term global warming trend
title_full_unstemmed A novel probabilistic forecast system predicting anomalously warm 2018-2022 reinforcing the long-term global warming trend
title_sort novel probabilistic forecast system predicting anomalously warm 2018-2022 reinforcing the long-term global warming trend
publisher Nature Publishing Group
series Nature Communications
issn 2041-1723
publishDate 2018-08-01
description Accurate near-term predictions of global temperatures are required to determine some of the key impacts of climate change. Here the authors develop a novel probabilistic forecast system that shows anomalously warm temperatures for the next years with increased risk of extreme warming.
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-05442-8
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AT sybrensdrijfhout anovelprobabilisticforecastsystempredictinganomalouslywarm20182022reinforcingthelongtermglobalwarmingtrend
AT floriansevellec novelprobabilisticforecastsystempredictinganomalouslywarm20182022reinforcingthelongtermglobalwarmingtrend
AT sybrensdrijfhout novelprobabilisticforecastsystempredictinganomalouslywarm20182022reinforcingthelongtermglobalwarmingtrend
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