Testing the Weak-Form Market Efficiency of the Euronext Wheat

Using a trading system based on various simple moving average crossings, the paper examines the weak-form market efficiency of the wheat traded at the Euronext exchange. After optimizing over the sample period, the best strategy is selected and then applied over the out-of-sample period. The profita...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Mihai Cristian Dinică, Erica Cristina Dinică (Balea)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Editura ASE Bucuresti 2015-03-01
Series:Romanian Economic Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.rejournal.eu/article/testing-weak-form-market-eficiency-euronext-wheat
Description
Summary:Using a trading system based on various simple moving average crossings, the paper examines the weak-form market efficiency of the wheat traded at the Euronext exchange. After optimizing over the sample period, the best strategy is selected and then applied over the out-of-sample period. The profitability of this strategy is then compared with the simple buy and hold strategy. The methodology is then repeated for different sub-samples in order to check the results’ robustness. The results show that the weak-form market efficiency hypothesis cannot be rejected for the wheat case.
ISSN:1454-4296
2286-2056